Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.001022 0.001168 0.001315 0.001476 0.001644 0.001816 0.002003
2025-04-27 0.000753 0.000955 0.001167 0.001407 0.001666 0.001937 0.002239
2025-05-04 0.000619 0.000865 0.001136 0.001449 0.001796 0.002166 0.002584
2025-05-11 0.000442 0.000707 0.001013 0.001379 0.001795 0.002246 0.002765
2025-05-18 0.000292 0.000558 0.000884 0.001290 0.001763 0.002286 0.002896
2025-05-25 0.000199 0.000465 0.000812 0.001258 0.001790 0.002386 0.003091
2025-06-01 0.000115 0.000365 0.000719 0.001193 0.001773 0.002433 0.003221
2025-06-08 0.000067 0.000304 0.000669 0.001175 0.001806 0.002534 0.003411
2025-06-15 0.000047 0.000285 0.000674 0.001224 0.001919 0.002726 0.003703
2025-06-22 0.000018 0.000231 0.000621 0.001195 0.001934 0.002801 0.003859
2025-06-29 0.000006 0.000200 0.000600 0.001205 0.001994 0.002928 0.004073
2025-07-06 0.000003 0.000204 0.000633 0.001288 0.002146 0.003164 0.004413
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000139 0.000556 0.001234 0.002147 0.003245 0.004606
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000083 0.000478 0.001173 0.002136 0.003314 0.004787
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000065 0.000470 0.001213 0.002258 0.003545 0.005162
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000028 0.000397 0.001149 0.002240 0.003604 0.005332
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000004 0.000320 0.001068 0.002194 0.003625 0.005456
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000279 0.001039 0.002216 0.003729 0.005678
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000225 0.000980 0.002192 0.003773 0.005826
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000197 0.000964 0.002227 0.003890 0.006061
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000200 0.001009 0.002350 0.004120 0.006433
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000170 0.000983 0.002367 0.004212 0.006636
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.000157 0.000991 0.002434 0.004369 0.006917